Computer models are not the only models we use. All the models used, the ones in our heads or computers, rely on steady-state patterns. Everything we are, we owe to predictable and reasonably stable patterns. Business, trade, or food production requires predictability. This is why there is such disdain for Chaos. Chaos cannot be modeled. During extended periods of environmental chaos, society at all levels breaks down. Though usually the last to fall, cities cannot ride out a world in chaos that lasts years. Cities are mortal too!
Why the concern about chaos? A menace has been growing yearly under our feet, that may be affecting electrical grids, communications, and weather. The decline of the earth’s magnetic field and the migration of the magnetic poles are accelerating every year. The official line is that there is no reason for concern. Many fear this phenomenon will bring a long period of chaos to our orderly planet of which increased vulcanism, earthquakes, and cosmic radiation being the less worrisome consequences. The questions are: can businesses, cities, and government ride out what may come, and if not, would it not be prudent to take steps to reduce the time it will take for the world to recover?
Two hundred years of voting safeguards are gone. A democracy can not exist if a voters’ choices are known, or ballots are fraudulent. Mail-in and absentee voting bypass all the safeguards established over 200 years to ensure voting integrity and protect anonymity. In-person voting made it most likely that a legitimate voter filled out the ballot, the person voting voted once, and the tabulated votes were accurate. Mail-in voting can not promise the same level of scrutiny or accuracy. Only if the voter and the ballot mailed can be verified that was counted is mail-in voting legitimate. Unfortunately, to verify the voter and the ballot mailed means the candidates and propositions a voter selects are no longer secret. Verification is mail-in votings’ Catch 22. If a voters ballot is kept secret, then there is no way to ensure the ballots cast are legitimate. And, if the voter is not sure the ballot filled out is the ballot counted, the outcome of the voting can not be trusted. Those people are fooling themselves to think otherwise. Mail in ballots and Mail-in voting has destroyed people’s faith in the outcome of any election. It is not funny, America’s democracy has been corrupted not by Russia, but by short-sighted politicians, the news media, and judges. The United States of America is now the Banana Republic.
City, state, and federal bureaucracy and politicians failed to lead. Almost every person in the above groups succumbed to hysteria from incompetency, fear, or both. There was no justification for shutting down the nation for more than three weeks. If China and the WHO had provided accurate information, there would have been no need to shut down the country. All that was necessary was to safeguard those in high-risk groups from catching the virus. For those not in the high mortality groups, contracting COVID-19 was not a death sentence.
Seriously, does anyone think transit ridership is coming back anytime soon?Many changes to buses, subway cars, and stations will be needed to get ridership on subways and buses back to pre-COViD-19 levels. Ventilation to pull air up and out of the vehicle will be required, more subway cars and buses added and kept clean. The frequency between trains and buses will have to be increased to lower crowding. People have told social distancing reduces exposure to the coronavirus. Influenza, pneumonia MRSA and tuberculosis quickly spread on crowded subway cars. Warts, ringworm, and scabies are skin diseases one can catch on a crowded subway. (1) Crowded subways and bed bugs are common (2) Transit authorities have tried to hide all the diseases and parasites one can catch in crowded subway cars and subway stations hidden from passengers.
The fixation academics and bureaucrats have had for decades of making every building energy-efficient while downplaying the negative health consequences of breathing recirculated air to gain acceptance by the public is an example of academic, scientific, and political tunnel vision. The way to fix a long term and complex problem is not to ignore or simplify other variables in the environment that will be thrown out of balance by a simple fix. This short-sighted myopia is exactly what the poorly thought out push to make every building energy-efficient using energy consumption as the only variable in the equation is! Every year new standards and regulations by the very same groups mentioned above are issued to undo problems created by demanding energy efficiency.
Fresh air and natural light were sacrificed on the altar of energy efficiency. Healthy buildings for the people in them took a back seat to BTUs kilowatts and CO2. How many historic, well-built buildings destroyed or turned into sick buildings in the name of energy-efficient? Urbanites now live in energy-efficient tombs that kill. And, as always, the fixes to make buildings healthy will be costly and ultimately use more energy(3).
Too many mayors of cities are deluged by a sea of bureaucrats chasing imaginary dragons as Don Quixote had. It takes a great mayor and support staff to see through the shenanigans of career bureaucrats eager to justify their existence. It takes an even greater mayor and staff to create a city government staffed by capable people interested in the city they serve and not just collecting a salary. Solutions that require multidisciplinary expertise and understanding will be few and far between as long as mayors look to institutions that focus on instant science and solutions.
America has bee split into three classes. The rich who are so far apart from (99%) of the country they identify only with the global rich, not the riff-raff American people beneath them. The second class about (29%) is comprised of a small percentage of people who can afford the allusion they own their homes, which are mortgaged to institutions the very rich control. The last group which is around (70%) owns little, including their cars. Even the Dollar stores are costly to them.
Wasn’t the mantra at one time that ownership produces good citizens? Were we not told the United States was stable because of the large number of the middle class who had a stake in the economy? Was this not the message we were endlessly bombarded with over the airways in documentaries and news casts? Did not we read in endless magazine and newspaper articles how capitalism and freedom created the largest middle class in the world?
Strange, after Evil Communism fell, the mantra of the middle class slowly went away, along with the middle class. Odd, but it seems war has been good for the middle class and the peace dividend has swelled the ranks of the poor. Income insecurity for all but the super-rich became the norm. The super-rich became even richer, and Congress seemed fixated on moving manufacturing out if the United States and then services too went away. And, more and more Americans sunk into economic insecurity as every member of Congress became richer. Why even the bureaucrats’ wealth gap between them and those they served (The People) grew larger and larger.
Why the surprise that those disenfranchised from the system that once touted how America was great because so many had it so good? Why would people who know they are permanently poor, doomed to rise never high enough to touch the feet of the rich? They know the gods who live high up in buildings care nothing for them. Can we not understand the anger and the hate boiling in so many seeking outlets to express the anger they have for the helplessness of their fate by striking out at those who are different and not much better off. The rich are simply out of reach and too protected by the very government that was supposed to protect the powerless from the powerful.
Those who own nothing, have no income security, know their children have little chance of climbing higher, and see others living much better, scramble for crumbs and are always looking up have little incentive to work within the system and not to loot, draw graffiti, hate the people who live in the clouds like gods, and to hate anyone living a little better life. Is not the way most people in America now live, not the life style we were told over and over for decades would being down Communism because it was a failed system.?Why do bureacrats and the Congress who believed this view of society was correct believe the result will not be the same for this government?
The Asian Flu Pandemic of 1957 killed 116,000 in the United States. (1) The population of the United States in 1957 was 178 million(2). The proportion of the population who died in 1957 was .00065. The 2020 population of the United States is 331 million. If in 1957, the population of the United States was 331,000, the number of dead from the Asian Flu Pandemic would have been over 200,000.
If COVID-19 kills 200,000 in the United States, this will be no worse than the 1957 flu epidemic was for Americans in 1957. (3) There was no mass panic, and there were no nationwide shutdowns in 57. Our nation has been shut down by officials terrified of a virus with a mortality rate that is about the same as the 1957 pandemic. (4) What has changed? The quality and courage of the nation’s leaders have dropped since 1957. They were easily panicked by media anchors who did not do any in-depth reporting. The nation’s media failed to do its job as is true of the scientists relying on computer models. Scientis treat the forecasts as fact and not as a model. Scientists gave simulations greater credibility than field data. Worse, the city, state, and federal leadership failed to read the information provided with each of the computer forecasts that did indicated that the vast majority of deaths would be in the over 75 age group.
What the academics, politicians, media, and bureaucrats hid from the public was that China had bought up all the necessary medical supplies that would be needed by hospitals. China had diverted all production facilities in China to meet domestics needs. The experts panicked because, unlike earlier times, the leaders, Congress, and the intellectual elites stripped the nation of the ability to supply the country with the medical supplies necessary to fight this pandemic.
The IPCC expects people to believe that humanity’s burning of fossil fuels will increase global temperature by 3C and cause sea level to rise 6 meters. These changes the IPCC is telling the world will bring catastrophic consequences to humanity and the Earth (1). Yet, the same people pushing anthropogenic global warming seem oblivious that during the last interglacial warm–up, the global temperature was 8C warmer, and the oceans 8 meters higher (2). What is even more egregious, the IPCC fear-mongers can not say how much the temperature will rise during this current interglacial warmup or when it will end. The IPCC is adamant that humanity must stop burning fossil fuels to save the planet from warming more, even if they have no clue how much warmer it will be before this interglacial warmup period ends! The IPCC’s position is that the burning of fossil fuel is the cause of all future ocean rise and interglacial warming that has already raised the oceans approximately 120 meters (394 feet) has magically stopped. Humanity is the protagonist causing an ocean rise of 12 to 18 inches per century.(3)It is astounding how many have bought into this nonsense, including those entrusted to steer humanity’s Ship of State are terrified and acting so.
If global warming experts have it wrong (4) and anthropogenic CO2 (5) is not causing Climate Change, and the warming and sea rise continues, the changes and time humanity wasted trying to stop the inevitable will be I’ll prepared to adapt. Worse, if the interglacial warmup ends and a severe cooldown begins, people will die. Ice Ages shorten growing seasons and increase droughts, that reducing food production.(6) The energy needed to mitigate the effects if cold will not be available. Wind and solar power will not be sufficient. The question is, if either of the above scenarios happens, do those who suffer because those running the Ship of State got it wrong have a right to punish those in power who screwed up?